Huambo: notable disagreement by day 3
Four forecasts from the 16 Sep 12Z run: ECMWF's learned model (AIFS), its physics model (HRES), Google DeepMind's WeatherNext 2, and the ECMWF ensemble mean, with the ensemble's 10–90% range shaded behind them.
Driven by temperature. 50 means the models disagree as much as the ensemble expects.
Disagreement by day
How it's measuredDay number after the run. Hover a chip for the date and the variable behind it.
2 m temperature, every model
Hover or tap the chart to read each model at that hour. The grey band is the range the ensemble puts 80% of its members in.
Day by day
Each model's high and low for the 24 hours ending at the time shown, °C. Δ is how much that model's high moved since its previous run, twelve hours earlier.
| Day | DI | AIFS | HRES | WN2 | ENS mean | ENS range | Spread of highs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1to Thu 17 12Z | 15temperature | 30° 20°Δ 0 | 31° 19°Δ 0 | 29° 18°Δ -2 | 31° 18°Δ 0 | 30–32° | 2° |
| Day 2to Fri 18 12Z | 26temperature | 29° 18°Δ 0 | 29° 17°Δ 0 | 29° 17°Δ 0 | 29° 17°Δ 0 | 28–30° | 0° |
| Day 3to Sat 19 12Z | 43temperature | 28° 17°Δ 0 | 28° 16°Δ -1 | 28° 17°Δ 0 | 28° 16°Δ -1 | 28–29° | 0° |
| Day 4to Sun 20 12Z | 37temperature | 29° 16°Δ 0 | 29° 16°Δ 0 | 29° 16°Δ +1 | 28° 16°Δ -1 | 27–29° | 1° |
| Day 5to Mon 21 12Z | 38temperature | 28° 16°Δ 0 | 27° 16°Δ -2 | 28° 16°Δ 0 | 28° 16°Δ -1 | 27–29° | 1° |
| Day 6to Tue 22 12Z | 30temperature | 28° 16°Δ +1 | 30° 17°Δ +1 | 28° 17°Δ 0 | 29° 17°Δ -1 | 27–30° | 2° |
| Day 7to Wed 23 12Z | 17temperature | 27° 18°Δ 0 | 28° 18°Δ 0 | 27° 18°Δ 0 | 28° 18°Δ +1 | 25–30° | 1° |
| Day 8to Thu 24 12Z | 30temperature | 28° 18°Δ 0 | 23° 18°Δ +2 | 27° 18°Δ -1 | 27° 18°Δ 0 | 22–29° | 5° |
| Day 9to Fri 25 12Z | 49temperature | 30° 20°Δ +1 | 24° 17°Δ -3 | 28° 18°Δ 0 | 27° 17°Δ +1 | 24–29° | 6° |
| Day 10to Sat 26 12Z | 60temperature | 30° 20°Δ +1 | 25° 16°Δ 0 | 28° 18°Δ +1 | 26° 17°Δ +1 | 23–28° | 5° |
Open this place on the map
Values are what Forecast Euro's ingest sampled from each model's grid at this city, rounded to whole degrees at source. This page compares models; it is not a forecast to plan by.